Friday, January 7, 2011

Money Making Schemes






Hot sectors will continue to be well funded even in the equity gap. We are seeing strong demand for deals in digital media, e-commerce, mobile software, cloud, cleantech and digital security and this will continue for some time.



However, companies that are reliant on old revenue models and that are not flexible with new routes to market will struggle to raise capital.

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Large corporates with accumulated cash reserves are currently the most active players in the M&A market and this will continue to drive venture capital decision making processes.  This is particularly evident in the technology space where groups such as Apple (NSDQ: AAPL), Microsoft (NSDQ: MSFT), Cisco (NSDQ: CSCO) and Google (NSDQ: GOOG) have large cash reserves are on a clearly demonstrated buying spree.



The new UK government has continued the previous government’s commitment to providing funding for early stage companies with the extension and expansion of the Enterprise Capital Fund and Enterprise Finance Guarantee schemes, which are an increasingly important source of funding for small companies.



MMC has seen more deals at the £1 million level, funded by extremely high net worth individuals (“Super Angels”) and we expect to see this continue.



There will be a rise in innovative early stage businesses waiting until they are generating revenue before going out to raise VC funding.



Companies relying on public sector contracts will struggle to raise capital because the public spending freeze means that virtually no new contracts are being won and it will be very hard for start ups to prove themselves.”





As important is the quality of the current crop of quarterbacks. If a quarterback is able to continue to score after the other team, defenses are less important. And to continue to score, the offensive schemes need to be better than average if not outstanding.


Left to the draft, there is a real opportunity but little guarantee that money will be well-spent. While this is also speculation, it is apparent that Bradford is no panacea for the dearth of talent on the Rams. And there is substantial question despite Sam Bradford's fairly successful campaign in the NFL's weakest division that his talent is sufficient to take the Rams to the top.


While the offensive schemes may be insufficient, the most likely coaching change in the Rams' immediate future, the most likely acquisition is another quarterback. The view here is that Bradford will not last. Instead, a seasoned quarterback is more likely to start next year.  


The NFL may also develop an international system like soccer's World Cup. While the talent stream is far different, making this a very difficult proposition indeed, the NFL has far too many teams in the current environment to make real sense on the world stage. The numbers watching terrible games are too low to sustain these teams over the long-term, and an international move would give owners a chance to work with a new and different system for a while.


A move to L.A. for Kroenke makes sense from this perspective. Kroenke had to have gotten something more in the international arena when he gave up his MBA and NFL teams. This could have been some right of first refusal in any new international expansion league. And these are likely to be paired with other NFL franchises. L.A.'s international profile is relevant here, and a move to L.A. in the short term  (probably by 2014) is likely.



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